Wednesday, April 3, 2019

C is for Category Function

Up to now, I’ve been talking mostly about Rasch with correct/incorrect or yes/no data. But Rasch can also be used with measures using rating scales or where multiple points can be awarded for an answer. If all of your items have the same scale – that is, they all use a Likert scale of Strongly Disagree to Strongly Agree or they’re all worth 5 points – you can use the Rasch Rating Scale Model.

Note: If your items have differing scales, you could use a Partial Credit Model, which fits each item separately, or if you have sets of items worth the same number of points, you could use a Grouped Rating Scale model, which is sort of a hybrid of the RSM and PCM. I’ll try to touch on these topics later.

Again, in Rasch, every item has a difficulty and every person an ability. But for items worth multiple points or with rating scales, there’s a third thing, which is on the same scale as item difficulty and person ability – the difficulty level for each point on the rating scale. How much ability does a person need to earn all 5 points on a math item? (Or 4 points? Or 3 points? …) How much of the trait is needed to select “Strongly Agree” on a satisfaction with life item? (Or Agree? Neutral? ...) Each point on the scale is given a difficulty. When you examine these values, you’re looking at Category Function.

When you look at these category difficulties, you want to examine two things. First, you want to make certain that higher points on the scale require more ability or more of the trait. Your category difficulties should stairstep up. When your scale points do this, we say the scale is “monotonic” (or “proceeds monotonically”).

Let’s start by looking at a scale that does not proceed monotonically, where the category difficulties are disordered. There are two types of category function data you’ll look at. The first is the “observed measure,” which is the average ability of the people who selected that category. The second are category thresholds – how much more of the trait is needed to select that particular category. When I did my Facebook study, I used the Facebook Questionnaire (Ross et al., 2009), which is a 4-item measure assessing intensity of use and attitudes toward Facebook. All 4 items use a 7-point scale from Strongly Disagree to Strongly Agree. Just for fun, I decided to run this measure through a Rasch analysis in Winsteps, and see how the categories function. Specifically, I looked at the thresholds. (I also looked the observed measures, but they were monotonic, which is good. But the thresholds were not, which can happen, where one looks good and the other looks bad.) Because these are thresholds between categories, there isn’t one for the first category, Strongly Disagree. But there is one for each category after that, which reflects how much ability or the trait they need to be more likely to select that category than the one below it. Here’s what those look like for the Facebook Questionnaire.


The threshold for the neutral category is lower than for slightly disagree. People are not using that category as I intended them to – perhaps they’re using it when they generally have no opinion, for instance, rather than when they’re caught directly between agreement and disagreement. If I were developing this measure, I might question whether to drop this category, or perhaps find a better descriptor for it. Regardless, I would probably collapse this category into another one (which I usually determine based on frequencies), or possibly drop it, and rerun my analysis with a new 6-point scale to see if category function improves.

The second thing you want to look for is a good spread on those thresholds; you want them to be at least a certain number of logits apart. When you have more options on a rating scale, this adds additional cognitive effort to answer the question. So you want to make sure that each additional point on the rating scale actually gives you useful information – information that allows you to differentiate between people at one point on the ability scale and others. If two categories have basically the same threshold, it means people are having trouble differentiating the two; maybe they’re having trouble parsing the difference between “much of the time” and “most of the time,” leading people of approximately the same ability level to select these two categories about equally.

I’ve heard different guidelines on how big a “spread” is needed. Linacre, who created Winsteps, recommends 1.4 logits, and recommends collapsing categories until you’re able to attain this spread. That’s not always possible. I’ve also heard smaller, such as 0.5 logits. But either way, you definitely don’t want two categories to have the exact same observed measure or category threshold.

Also as part of the Facebook study, I administered the 5-item Satisfaction with Life Scale (Diener et al., 1985). Like the Facebook Questionnaire, this measure uses a 7-point scale (Strongly Disagree to Strongly Agree).


The middle categories are all closer together, and certainly don’t meet Linacre’s 1.4 logits guideline. I’m not as concerned about that, but I am concerned that Neither Agree nor Disagree and Slightly Agree are so close together. Just like above, where the category thresholds didn’t advance, there might be some confusion about what this “neutral” category really means. Perhaps this measure doesn’t need a 7-point scale. Perhaps it doesn’t need a neutral option. These are some issues to explore with the measure.

As a quick note, I don’t want it to appear I’m criticizing either measure. They were not developed with Rasch and this idea of category function is a Rasch-specific one. It might not be as important for these measures. But if you’re using the Rasch approach to measurement, these are ideas you need to consider. And clearly, these category function statistics can tell you a lot about whether there seems to be confusion about how a point on a rating scale is used or what it means. If you’re developing a scale, it can help you figure out what categories to combine or even drop.

Tomorrow’s post – dimensionality!

References

Diener, E., Emmons, R. A., Larsen, R. J., & Griffin, S. (1985). The Satisfaction with Life Scale. Journal of Personality Assessment, 49, 71-75.

Ross, C., Orr, E. S., Sisic, M., Arseneault, J. M., Simmering, M. G., & Orr, R. R. (2009). Personality and motivations associated with Facebook use. Computers in Human Behavior, 25, 578-586.

Tuesday, April 2, 2019

B is for Bank

As I alluded to yesterday, in Rasch, every item gets a difficulty and every person taking (some set of) those items gets an ability. They're both on the same scale, so you can compare the two, and determine which item is right for the person based on their ability and which ability is right for the person based on how they perform on the items. Rasch uses a form of maximum likelihood estimation to create these values, so it goes back and forth with different values until it gets a set of item difficulties and person abilities that fit the data.

Once you have a set of items that have been thoroughly tested and have item difficulties, you can begin building an item bank. A bank could be all the items on a given test (so the measure itself is the bank), but usually, when we refer to a bank, we're talking about a large pool of items from which to draw for a particular administration. This is how computer adaptive tests work. No person is going to see every since item in the bank.

Maintaining an item bank is a little like being a project manager. You want to be very organized and make sure you include all of the important information about the items. Item difficulty is one of the statistics you'll want to save about the items in your bank. When you administer a computer adaptive test, the difficulty of the item the person receives next is based on whether they got the previous item correct or not. If they got the item right, they get a harder item. If they got it wrong, they get an easier item. They keep going back and forth like this until we've administered enough items to be able to estimate that person's ability.

You want to maintain the text of the item: the stem, the response options, and which option is correct (the key). The bank should also include what topics each item covers. You'll have different items that cover different topics. On ability tests, those are the different areas people should know on that topic. An algebra test might have topics like linear equations, quadratic equations, word problems, and so on.

With adaptive tests, you'll want to note which items are enemies of each other. These are items that are so similar (they cover the same topic and may even have the same response options) that you'd never want to administer both in the same test. Not only do enemy items give you no new information on that person's ability to answer that type of question, they may even provide clues about each other that leads someone to the correct answer. This is bad, because the ability estimate based on this performance won't be valid - the ability you get becomes a measure of how savvy the test taker is, rather than their actual ability on the topic of the test.

On the flip side, there might be items that go together, such as a set of items that all deal with the same reading passage. So if an examinee randomly receives a certain passage of text, you'd want to make sure they then receive all items associated with that passage.

Your bank might also include items you're testing out. While some test developers will pretest items through a special event, where examinees are only receiving new items with no item difficulties, once a test has been developed, new items are usually mixed in with old items to gather item difficulty data, and to calibrate the difficulties of the new items based on difficulties of known items. (I'll talk more about this when I talk about equating.) The new items are pretest and considered unscored - you don't want performance on them to affect the person's score. The old items are operational and scored. Some tests put all pretest items in a single section; this is how the GRE does it. Others will mix them in throughout the test.

Over time, items are seen more and more. You might reach a point where an item has been seen so much that you have to assume it's been compromised - shared between examinees. You'll want to track how long an item has been in the bank and how many times it's been seen by examinees. In this case, you'll retire an item. You'll often keep retired items in the bank, just in case you want to reuse or revisit them later. Of course, if the item tests on something that is no longer relevant to practice, it may be removed from the bank completely.

Basically, your bank holds all items that could or should appear on a particular test. If you've ever been a teacher or professor and received supplementary materials with a test book, you may have gotten items that go along with the text. These are item banks. As you look through them, you might notice similarly worded items (enemy items), topic in the textbook covered, and so on. Sadly, these types of banks don't tend to have item difficulties attached to them. (Wouldn't that be nice, though? Even if you're not going to Rasch grade your students, you could make sure you have a mix of easy, medium, and hard items. But these banks don't tend to have been pretested, a fact I learned when I applied for a job to write many of these supplementary materials for textbooks.)

If you're in the licensing or credentialing world, you probably also need to track references for each item. And this will usually need to be a very specific reference, down to the page of a textbook or industry document. You may be called upon - possibly in a deposition or court - to prove that a particular item is part of practice, meaning you have to demonstrate where this item comes from and how it is required knowledge for the field. Believe me, people do challenge particular items. In the comments section at the end of a computer adaptive test, people will often reference specific items. It's rare to have to defend an item to someone, but when you do, you want to make certain you have all the information you need in one place.

Most of the examples I've used in this post have been for ability tests, and that's traditionally where we've seen item banks. But there have been some movements in testing to use banking for trait and similar tests. If I'm administering a measure of mobility to a person with a spinal cord injury, I may want to select certain items based on where that person falls on mobility. Spinal cord injury can range in severity, so while one person with a spinal cord injury might be wheelchair-bound, another might be able to walk short distances with the help of a walker (especially if they have a partial injury, meaning some signals are still getting through). You could have an item bank so that these two patients get different items; the person who is entirely wheelchair-bound wouldn't get any items about their ability to walk, while the person with the partial injury would. The computer adaptive test would just need a starting item to figure out approximately where the person falls on the continuum of mobility, then direct them to the questions most relevant to their area of the continuum.

Tomorrow, we'll talk more about the rating scale model of Rasch, and how we look at category function!


Monday, April 1, 2019

A is for Ability

Welcome to April A to Z, where I'll go through the A to Z of Rasch! This is the measurement model I use most frequently at work, and is a great way to develop a variety of measures. It started off in educational measurement, and many Rasch departments are housed in educational psychology and statistics departments. But Rasch is slowly making its way into other disciplines as well, and I hope to see more people using this measurement model. It provides some very powerful and useful statistics on measures and isn't really that difficult to learn.

A few disclaimers:

  1. There are entire courses on Rasch measurement, and in fact, some programs divide Rasch up across several courses because there's much that can be learned on the topic. This blog series is really an introduction to the concepts, to help you get started and decide if Rasch is right for you. I won't get into the math behind it as much, but will try to use some data examples to demonstrate the concepts. 
  2. I try to be very careful about what data I present on the blog. My data examples are usually: data I personally own (that is, collected as part of my masters or doctoral study), publicly available data, or (most often) simulated data. None of the data I present will come from any of the exams I work on at my current position or past positions as a psychometrician. I don't own those data and can't share them. 
  3. Finally, these posts are part of a series in which I build on past posts to introduce new concepts. I won't always be able to say everything I want on a topic for a given post, because it ties into another post better. So keep reading - I'll try to make it clear when I'll get back to something later.

For my first post in the series, ability!

When we use measurement with people, we're trying to learn more about some underlying quality about them. We call this underlying quality we want to measure a "latent variable." It's something that can't be captured directly, but rather through proxies. In psychometrics, those proxies are the items. We go through multiple steps to design and test those items to ensure they get as close as we can to tapping into that latent variable. In science/research terms, the items are how we operationalize the latent variable: define it in a way that it can be measured.

In the Rasch approach to psychometrics, we tend to use the term "ability" rather than "latent variable." First, Rasch was originally designed for educational assessment - tests that had clear right and wrong answers - so it makes sense to frame performance on these tests as ability. Second, Rasch deals with probabilities that a person is able to answer a certain question correctly or endorse a certain answer on a test. So even for measures of traits, like attitudes and beliefs or personality inventories, people with more of a trait have a different ability to respond to different questions. Certain answers are easier for them to give because of that underlying trait.

In Rasch, we calibrate items in terms of difficulty (either how hard the question is or, for trait measures, how much of the trait is needed to respond in a certain way) and people in terms of ability. These two concepts are calibrated on the same scale, so once we have a person's ability, we can immediately determine how they're likely to respond to a given item. That scale is in a unit called a "logit," or a log odds ratio. This conversion gives us a distribution that is nearly linear. (Check out the graphs in the linked log odds ratio post to see what I mean.) Typically, when you look at your distribution of person ability measures, you'll see numbers ranging from positive to negative. And while, theoretically, your logits can range from negative infinity to positive infinity, more likely, you'll see values from -2 to +2 or something like that.

That ability metric is calculated based on the items the person responded to (and especially how they responded) - for exams with right and wrong answers, their ability is the difficulty of item at which they have a 50% chance of responding correctly. The actual analysis involved in creating these ability estimates uses some form of maximum likelihood estimation (there are different types, like Joint Maximum Likelihood Estimation, JMLE, or Pairwise Maximum Likelihood Estimation, PMLE, to name a couple), so it goes back and forth with different values until it gets estimates that best fit the data. This is both a strength and weakness of Rasch: it's an incredibly powerful analysis technique that makes full use of the data available, and handles missing data beautifully, but it couldn't possibly be done without a computer and capable software. In fact, Rasch has been around almost as long as classical test theory approaches - it just couldn't really be adopted until technology caught up.

I'll come back to this concept later this month, but before I close on this post, I want to talk about one more thing: scores. When you administer a Rasch exam and compute person ability scores, you have logits that are very useful for psychometric purposes. But rarely would you ever show those logit scores to someone else, especially an examinee. A score of -2 on a licensing exam or the SAT isn't going to make a lot of sense to an examinee. So we convert those values to a scaled score, using some form of linear equation. That precise equation differs by exam. The SAT, for instance, ranges from 400 to 1600, the ACT from 1 to 36, and the CPA exam from 0 to 99. Each of these organizations has an equation that takes their ability scores and converts them to their scaled score metric. (And in case you're wondering if there's a way to back convert your scaled score on one of these exams to the logit, you'd need to know the slope and constant of the equation they use - not something they're willing to share, nor something you could determine from a single data point. They don't really want you looking under the hood on these types of things.)

Some questions you may have:

  1. The linear equation mentioned above takes into account the possible range of scaled scores (such as 400 to 1600 on the SAT), as well as the actual abilities of the pilot or pretest sample you used. What if you administer the test (with the set difficulties of the items from pretesting), and you get someone outside of the range of abilities of the sample you used to create the equation? Could you get someone with a score below 400 or above 1600? Yes, you could. This is part of why you want a broad range of abilities in your pilot sample, to make sure you're getting all possible outcomes and get the most accurate equation you can. This is also where simulated data could be used, which we do use in psychometrics. Once you have those item difficulties set with pilot testing, you could then create cases that get, for instance, all questions wrong or all questions right. This would give you the lowest possible logit and the highest possible logit. You can then include those values when setting the equation. As long as the difficulties are based on real performance, it's okay to use simulated cases. Finally, that range of possible scores sets the minimum and maximum for reporting. Even if an ability score means a person could have an SAT below 400, their score will be automatically set at the minimum.
  2. What about passing and failing for licensing and credentialing exams? How do ability scores figure into that? Shouldn't you just use questions people should know and forget about all this item difficulty and person ability nonsense? This is one way that Rasch and similar measurement models differ from other test approaches. The purpose of a Rasch test is to measure the person's ability, so you need a good range of item difficulties to determine what a person's true ability is. These values are not intended to tell you whether a person should pass or fail - that's a separate part of the psychometric process called standard setting, where a committee of subject matter experts determines how much ability is necessary to say a person has the required knowledge to be licensed or credentialed. This might be why Rasch makes more sense to people when you talk about it in the educational assessment sense: you care about what the person's ability is. But Rasch is just as useful in pass/fail exams, because of the wealth of information it gives you about your exam and items. You just need that extra step of setting a standard to give pass/fail information. And even in those educational assessments, there are generally standards, such as what a person's ability should be at their age or grade level. Rasch measurement gives you a range of abilities in your sample, which you can then use to make determinations about what those abilities should be.


Tomorrow, we'll dig more into item difficulties when we discuss item banks!

Sunday, March 24, 2019

Statistics Sunday: Blogging A to Z Theme Reveal

I'm excited to announce this year's theme for the Blogging A to Z challenge:


I'll be writing through the alphabet of psychometrics with the Rasch Measurement Model approach. I've written a bit about Rasch previously. You can find those posts here:

Looking forward to sharing these posts! First up is A for Ability on Monday, April 1!

Sunday, March 17, 2019

Statistics Sunday: Standardized Tests in Light of Public Scandal

No doubt, by now, you've heard about the large-scale investigation into college admissions scandals among the wealthy - a scandal that suggests SAT scores, among other things, can in essence be bought. Eliza Shapiro and Dana Goldstein of the NY Times ask if this scandal is "the last straw" for tests like the SAT.

To clarify in advance, I do not nor have I ever worked for the Educational Testing Service or for any organization involved in admissions testing. But as a psychometrician, I have a vested interest in this industry. And I became a psychometrician because of my philosophy: that many things, including ability, achievement, and college preparedness, can be objectively measured if certain procedures and methods are followed. If the methods and procedures are not followed properly in a particular case, the measurement in that case is invalid. That is what happens when a student (or more likely, their parent) pays someone else to take the SAT for them, or bribes a proctor, or finds an "expert" willing to sign off on a disability the student does not have to get extra accommodations.

But because that particular instance of measurement is invalid doesn't damn the entire field to invalidity. It just means we have to work harder. Better vetting of proctors, advances in testing like computerized adaptive testing and new item types... all of this is to help counteract outside variables that threaten the validity of measurement. And expansions in the field of data forensics now include examining anomalous patterns in testing, to identify if some form of dishonesty has taken place - allowing scores to be rescinded or otherwise declared invalid after the fact.

This is a field I feel strongly about, and as I said, really sums up my philosophy in life for the value of measurement. Today, I'm on my way to the Association of Test Publishers Innovations in Testing 2019 meeting in Orlando. I'm certain this recent scandal will be a frequent topic at the conference, and a rallying cry for better protection of exam material and better methods for identifying suspicious testing behavior. Public trust in our field is on the line. It is our job to regain that trust.


Tuesday, March 12, 2019

Are Likert Scales Superior to Yes/No? Maybe

I stumbled upon this great post from the Personality Interest Group and Espresso (PIG-E) blog about which is better - Likert scales (such as those 5-point Agree to Disagree scales you often see) or Yes/No (see also True/False)? First, they polled people on Twitter. 66% of respondents thought that going from a 7-point to 2-point scale would decrease reliability on a Big Five personality measure; 71% thought that move would decrease validity. But then things got interesting:
Before I could dig into my data vault, M. Brent Donnellan (MBD) popped up on the twitter thread and forwarded amazingly ideal data for putting the scale option question to the test. He’d collected a lot of data varying the number of scale options from 7 points all the way down to 2 points using the BFI2. He also asked a few questions that could be used as interesting criterion-related validity tests including gender, self-esteem, life satisfaction and age. The sample consisted of folks from a Qualtrics panel with approximately 215 people per group.

Here are the average internal consistencies (i.e., coefficient alphas) for 2-point (Agree/Disagree), 3-point, 5-point, and 7-point scales:

And here's what they found in terms of validity evidence - the correlation between the BFI2 and another Big Five measure, the Mini-IPIP:


FYI, when I'm examining item independence in scales I'm creating or supporting, I often use 0.7 as a cut-off - that is, items that correlate at 0.7 or higher (meaning 49% shared variance) are essentially measuring the same thing and violate the assumption of independence. The fact that all but Agreeableness correlates at or above 0.7 is pretty strong evidence that the scales, regardless of number of response options, are measuring the same thing.

The post includes a discussion of these issues by personality researchers, and includes some interesting information not just on number of response options, but also on the Big Five personality traits.

Monday, March 11, 2019

Statistics Sunday: Scatterplots and Correlations with ggpairs

As I conduct some analysis for a content validation study, I wanted to quickly blog about a fun plot I discovered today: ggpairs, which displays scatterplots and correlations in a grid for a set of variables.

To demonstrate, I'll return to my Facebook dataset, which I used for some of last year's R analysis demonstrations. You can find the dataset, a minicodebook, and code on importing into R here. Then use the code from this post to compute the following variables: RRS, CESD, Extraversion, Agree, Consc, EmoSt, Openness. These correspond to measures of rumination, depression, and the Big Five personality traits. We could easily request correlations for these 7 variables. But if I wanted scatterplots plus correlations for all 7, I can easily request it with ggpairs then listing out the columns from my dataset I want included on the plot:

library(ggplot2)
ggpairs(Facebook[,c(112,116,122:126)]

(Note: I also computed the 3 RRS subscales, which is why the column numbers above skip from 112 (RRS) to 116 (CESD). You might need to adjust the column numbers when you run the analysis yourself.)

The results look like this:


Since the grid is the number of variables squared, I wouldn't recommend this type of plot for a large number of variables.